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Title : Water, water everywhere: Analysis of the "pee-pee tape" claim
link : Water, water everywhere: Analysis of the "pee-pee tape" claim
Water, water everywhere: Analysis of the "pee-pee tape" claim
This is it: The day Irma makes landfall.Some media sources say that the hurricane has been reduced to category 3 status, while others insist that the monster has regained its muscles. We'll know soon.
The wisest reaction is evacuation. The stupidest reaction is to fire indiscriminately into the storm, knowing full well that the winds might hurtle bullets back. This is just what some idiots propose to do, on the theory that the storm will "turn around" when proud Second Amendment People show that they mean business. They may have already started to fire.
We now turn our attention to another story involving madness and moisture.
"The Steele dossier" has become the preferred nomenclature for a notorious document which I still prefer to the Orbis dossier. (The text has multiple authors; Orbis is the name of Christopher Steele's company.) A week ago, Paul Wood of the BBC claimed to have found multiple independent confirmations for the "watersports" claim.
“There are, though, reports of witnesses in the hotel who corroborate Steele’s reporting. These include an American who’s said to have seen a row with the hotel security over whether the hookers would be allowed up to Trump’s suite. The dossier’s account of hookers in a Moscow hotel room was the subject of gossip among politicians and intelligence people for months before it was published.”
Now claims are circulating of more tapes showing more extreme behavior. Expect these allegations to emerge in due course,” Wood continued.This post will explore the theory that the pee-pee claims have diverted us from the more important allegation that Trump made a deal: He'd get a large cut of Rosneft oil production profits in exchange for (in essence) selling out the United States. That claim has disappeared from our national conversation. Americans are very predictable: Since most of us don't understand the world of Big Money, we don't feel comfortable discussing financial chicanery -- but weird sex will always grab our attention.
Wood reports that Putin has tapes of even more extreme activity involving Donald Trump. As many forget, this claim was first sounded in the Steele dossier itself, which says that sexual kompromat was also obtained on Trump in St. Petersburg.
A couple of days ago, Mother Jones published a piece emphasizing a point which I've made in previous posts: Part of the Republican strategy is to pretend that all of Russiagate stems from the Steele Dossier. Rightwingers want us to believe that even a partial disproof of Steele's work will exonerate Trump completely. That scenario simply is not true: If the dossier had never existed, we'd still have quite the scandal.
It may seem odd that Republicans believe going after the Steele memos, which included salacious allegations about Trump, is a way to help the president. But they appear to have two goals: to suggest the Steele memos were actually cooked up by the Russian government—and thus are proof that Moscow did not favor Trump in 2016—and to undercut the FBI’s Russia investigation by linking its origins to the Steele memos.Calling Fusion a "Democrat-linked" firm is both true and ridiculous: The company is a hired gun that does oppo resarch for both parties. The Steele dossier originated as an oppo effort by one of Trump's Republican rivals (probably Jeb Bush, whose dad once headed the CIA).
Nunes’ demands mirror prior requests from Senate Judiciary Committee Chairman Chuck Grassley (R-Iowa) to the Justice Department and FBI. Grassley’s letters demanded information while also implying misconduct by the FBI related to the Steele dossier, an effort that hit some political pay dirt. A hearing Grassley convened in July covered the previously reported fact that Fusion GPS, the firm that retained Steele to dig up information on Trump’s Russia ties, also worked for a law firm representing Prevezon Holdings, a company owned by the son of a senior Russian official that faced a federal lawsuit over fraud and money laundering.
The White House has seized on the Grassley-publicized connection between Fusion GPS and Prevezon to suggest that the Steele dossier was actually the result of a Russian operation—which would suggest Trump is not a Kremlin favorite but a victim. “The Democrat-linked firm Fusion GPS actually took money from the Russian government while it created the phony dossier that’s been the basis for all of the Russia scandal fake news,” White House spokeswoman Sarah Huckabee Sanders said after Grassley’s hearing.
Trump, in a July 29 tweet, went further. Citing a breathless Fox News report on the committee hearing, the president asserted, contrary to the consensus of the US intelligence community, that “Russia was against Trump in the 2016 Election.”
Trump apologists ignore the fact that oppo research has value only if it has a basis in truth; oppo research and a smear are two different things. Hypocritically, Donald Trump argues that oppo research is perfectly fine when his son does it.
Nevertheless, it is indeed true -- and troubling -- that Fusion links up with Prevezon, Veselnitskaya, and the Russian government's efforts to undo the Magnitsky act. Fox News have gone to great lengths to emphasize this link and to imply all sorts of ominous possibilities. Although the Fox stories have little more than attempts to muddy the waters, we must concede that Bill Browder's company has been getting up to some rather devious hijinks.
It's time to ask a very basic question: Where, ultimately, does the "pee pee" allegation come from?
As I've noted in previous posts, the only real-life figure who fits the dossier's description of "Source E" is inauguration planner Boris Epshteyn (whose name I have misspelled in previous posts -- more than once, and in more than one way; many apologies). A former White House Press Officer and currently an analyst for the vile Sinclair Broadcast Group, Epshteyn is a familiar presence on our television screens. Although I can't find the article, I recall reading is that he has denied being Source E. Of course, only a fool would trust the veracity of anyone on Team Trump.
Epshteyn never had a clearly defined role in the Donald Trump campaign, leading to the question of why he was really there. He was regularly used as a campaign surrogate on television, despite being so ill suited at it that other pundits would make fun of his ineptness to his face. He listed himself as a “Senior Adviser” to the Trump campaign on his own social media pages, despite seemingly not being in charge of anything.This Washington Monthly piece claims that Epshteyn may have been D, not E. The same piece also tells us everything we can know at this point about the rest of the "pee pee" sourcing...
Steele went to some effort to corroborate this explosive story. The part I just related was provided by Source D who was described as “a close associate of Trump who had organized and managed his recent trips to Moscow.” Quite a few people suspect that Source D was Boris Epshteyn who was just forced out of the White House for unspecified reasons and took a job as the “chief political analyst” for the Sinclair Broadcasting Group. That has not been confirmed.I published an OCR transcript of the dossier here. Let's look again at the actual paragraphs which have created so much "yellow" journalism:
Steele also had a Source E who told him that some Ritz Carlton staff were aware of the Trump/Golden Shower story at the time. Source E introduced a Russian intelligence operative to Source F, a female employee at the hotel. Source F also corroborated the story. Finally (as stated at the top) Source B, who was a former high level Russian intelligence office still active in the Kremlin’s inner circles, confirmed that the government had collected enough material on Trump during his visits that they could blackmail him. Specifically, Trump had engaged in questionable sexual activity that was “arranged/monitored” by the FSB.
3. However, there were other aspects to TRUMP's engagement with the Russian authorities. One which had borne fruit for them was to exploit personal obsessions and sexual perversion in order to obtain suitable 'kompromat' [compromising material] on him. According to Source D, where s/he had been present, TRUMP's (perverted) conduct in Moscow included hiring the presidential suite of the Ritz Carlton Hotel, where he knew President and OBAMA {whom he hated] had stayed on one other official trips to Russia, and defiling the bed where they had slept by employing a number of prostitutes to perform a 'golden showers' (urination) show in front of him. The hotel was known to be under FSB control with microphones and concealed cameras in all the main rooms to record anything they wanted to.Whenever I think about these paragraphs, one question haunts me: Why would these sources reveal these things to Steele (or to other members of his team)?
4. The Moscow Ritz Carlton episode involving TRUMP reported above was confirmed by Source E, [REDACTED] who said that s/he and several of the staff were aware of it at time and subsequently. S/he believed it had happened in 2013. Source provided an introduction for a company ethnic Russian operative to Source F, a female staffer at the hotel when TRUMP had stayed there, who also confirmed the story. Speaking separately in June 2016, Source B (the former top level Russian intelligence officer) asserted that unorthodox behavior in Russia over the years had provided the authorities there with enough embarrassing material on the now Republican presidential candidate to be able to blackmail him if they so wished.
It's fair to presume that Steele's operatives used false identities and "legends." People in their profession do not saunter into a Moscow hotel and say "Hi! We're former British intelligence agents and we'd like some information!" But what possible tactic or disguise could have caused those sources to become so blabby about such a shocking story?
As most of you know, Stephen Colbert visited the same hotel, and even stayed in the same suite. The resultant bit was fitfully amusing and very unnerving: Colbert repeatedly says that he was spied upon -- by the Russians and by the Americans. He also indicates that everyone working for that hotel seemed to be enveloped in a fog of paranoia.
While watching Colbert's segment for the first time, my mind flashed back to that female staffer, "Source F." Either the "fog of paranoia" was a lot less oppressive in 2013 (a distinct possibility) or one of the "James Bonds" working for Orbis found a way to loosen up that female staffer.
It's also possible that Steele found out about the "pee-pee" story because he was supposed to.
In previous posts, we've talked about what I call "the McAlpine Gambit," a ploy described by Margaret Thatcher's late friend, Lord Alistair McAlpine:
First, create a situation where you are wrongly accused. Then, at a convenient moment, arrange for the false accusation to be shown to be false beyond all doubt. Those who have made accusations against both the company and its management become discredited. Further accusations will then be treated with great suspicion.(Toward the end of his life, McAlpine himself was on the receiving end of some rather brutal allegations involving illegal sex. Readers will have to come to their own conclusions about the credibility of those allegations.)
Perhaps the "pee pee party" was a red herring -- or perhaps a yellow one. What would be the purpose of this diversion? What might those sources have hoped to divert us from?
From Wikipedia's entry on the dossier:
On December 26, 2016, Oleg Erovinkin, a former KGB/FSB general, was found dead in his car in Moscow. Erovinkin was a key liaison between Igor Sechin, head of state-owned oil company Rosneft, and President Putin. Steele claimed much of the information came from a source close to Sechin. According to Christo Grozev, a journalist at Risk Management Lab, a think-tank based in Bulgaria, the circumstances of Erovinkin's death were "mysterious". Grozev suspected Erovinkin helped Steele compile the dossier on Trump and suggests the hypothesis that the death may have been part of a cover-up by the Russian government.[42][43] Mark Galeotti, senior research fellow at the Institute of International Relations Prague, who specializes in Russian history and security, rejected Grozev's hypothesis.I've been following Grozev's work, which continues to impress. Let us respectfully note the disparity of treatment accorded to these two claimed sources: Boris Epshteyn has prospered. Erovinkin definitely has not.
Again: I'm not claiming that Epshteyn definitely is one of Steele's sources, merely that he fits the description. For the sake of argument, let us posit that he is Source E: Is it not telling that he has never left Trump's good graces?
I'm reminded of the noir classic Kiss Me Deadly. Remember Mike Hammer's reaction when the mechanic finds a bomb in his car? "That's the one they wanted us to find!"
Speaking of Hollywood (and of piss):
Bannon the screenwriter. This piece offers a look at Steve Bannon's unproduced screenplay based on Coriolanus. I'll be honest: That's one work by Shakespeare which I've neither read nor seen produced. The original can't possibly be this awful...
Marcius, Marcius, you speak divinely cuz. Each word unweeds my heart, uproots our ancient envy. Shall I wrap my arms around you hotly, as I did in battle? Like with that bitch I married — (loading gun) when we first got it on. Now my heart’s dancing rapt, as when I lay bestride her threshold. Man, you are seducing me. We been down together many night — times in my dreams. And when I woke...
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